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Tuesday, 19 May 2009

Climate Change Position of Government of India

Validity of “principle of historical responsibility” indisputable and incontrovertible but a document titled “THE ROAD TO COPENHAGEN: India’s Position on Climate Change Issues” published by Public Diplomacy Division, Union Ministry of External Affairs, Government of India dated February 27, 2009 with a foreword by Shyam Saran is questionable. It states, “subjecting national aspirational efforts to an international compliance regime may result in lower ambitions” and “inability to reach a certain target for renewable energy use under a national plan, would have very different consequences than a similar legal obligation under an international agreement. The two cannot be equated.”

Clearly, the National Action Plan for Climate Change that the Prime Minister unveiled on June 30, 2008 with its eight missions including National Water Mission that finds mention even in the Congress Party’s manifesto is just a statement of voluntary action, intent and aspiration. It is not mandatory for any agency, be it governmental or corporate to act according to the action plan and thus it does not constitute what the manifesto of the Indian National Congress promised as “credible actions” within any framework.

It is a well-known fact that even the reports brought out by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is more of a politically acceptable scientific survey rather than a purely scientific study. The latter would have called for more radical measures with regard to steps required to stop ongoing dangerous interference with the atmosphere due to current model of industrialization and urbanization that is highly inconsistent with thousands of years of human wisdom. In such a scenario, when a consensual scientific document based on broader political unanimity calls for reversal in business as usual practices it would have seemed natural for countries like India to act not because of some international requirement but because it is in one’s own supreme national interest. It is inconsequential for citizens whether some international humanitarian law is being followed in letter or not, what is of consequence is whether or not its governmental actions factor in the spirit behind a law that will have ramifications not only for the present generation but also for the future generations. The response of Government of India neither follows the former nor the latter even when Chapter 10 (page no. 493), Working Group II Report "Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability", IPCC Fourth Assessment Report states, “Glaciers in the Himalaya are receding faster than in any other part of the world and, if the present rate continues, the likelihood of them disappearing by the year 2035 and perhaps sooner is very high if the Earth keeps warming at the current rate. Its total area will likely shrink from the present 500,000 to 100,000 km2 by the year 2035 (WWF, 2005). The receding and thinning of Himalayan glaciers can be attributed primarily to the global warming due to increase in anthropogenic emission of greenhouse gases. The relatively high population density near these glaciers and consequent deforestation and land-use changes have also adversely affected these glaciers. The 30.2 km long Gangotri glacier has been receding alarmingly in recent years. Between 1842 and 1935, the glacier was receding at an average of 7.3 m every year; the average rate of recession between 1985 and 2001 is about 23 m per year (Hasnain, 2002). The current trends of glacial melts suggest that the Ganga, Indus, Brahmaputra and other rivers that criss-cross the northern Indian plain could likely become seasonal rivers in the near future as a consequence of climate change and could likely affect the economies in the region. Some other glaciers in Asia – such as glaciers shorter than 4 km length in the Tibetan Plateau – are projected to disappear and the glaciated areas located in the headwaters of the Changjiang River will likely decrease in area by more than 60% (Shen et al., 2002).”

Despite this and in spite of its own National Mission for Sustaining the Himalayan Ecosystem, Government of India in its wisdom feels that the fate of “About 15,000 Himalayan glaciers which supports perennial rivers such as the Indus, Ganga and Brahmaputra”, which remains “the lifeline of millions of people in South Asian countries (Pakistan, Nepal, Bhutan, India and Bangladesh)” merits only non-serious, unaccountable, irresponsible and even nationally legally non-enforceable responses to combat an ecological crisis that is bound to turn into a humanitarian crisis. In its frozen passivity and insensitivity, it is promoting only insincere paper work although Ganga basin alone is home to 500 million people and they are already facing great distress due to multiple ecological problems emerging from blind industrialization and urbanization. In the absence of any legal obligation to conserve biodiversity, forest cover, and other ecological values in the Himalayan region, for instance, the projected recession of glaciers that are a major source of India’s water supply cannot be prevented.

Does capital intensive thermal and nuclear energy based households make any sense when transmission and distribution (T&D) losses of the state electricity boards & distribution firms are almost 55%? T&D losses for the country as a whole are estimated to be in the range of 35%–45%, according to Planning Commission's Eleventh Five Year Plan 2007-12. In such a situation, decentralization of energy generation seems to be the way forward.

But nothing mentioned in documents being manufactured by the government shows that their current action factors in how climate change creates a compelling logic for conservation measures and policy reversals. Even key ministries like Union Ministry of Panchayati Raj have not been consulted at any stage but like Panchayats even their ministry is dismissed indeed reflecting “a major lacuna” in what the Panchayati Raj Ministry wanted to do “to mitigate the adverse impact of climate change on local communities”. It surprising that pre-occupied with some elitist concerns they even failed to demonstrate that Union Water Resources Ministry as a nodal Ministry is incapable of undertaking any environment friendly measures because it is beyond its mandate in the same way as they were not successful in ensuring that the Union Ministry of Science and Technology did not get away by saying “it would be difficult to involve panchayats or local communities” at this stage.

Notably, even the National River Conservation Directorate and the recent Ganga River Basin Authority is under the Union Ministry of Environment & Forests. Continuing its unhealthy legacy of bulldozing rivers, flood plains, forests, biodiversity, natural drainage etc, it is not inconsistent that even ministries such as Union Ministry of Panchayats have not been deemed relevant for engagement, let alone citizens.

Not only the issue of water resources even National Mission on Sustainable Habitat that calls for incentives for the use of public transportation is remains a non-starter. The World Bank’s six-sector yet to be published study Low Carbon Growth in India says: “The active promotion of car ownership, coupled with their currently low variable operating cost, are likely to cause these growth forecasts to be exceeded unless policies are enacted to promote fast and efficient public transport over private alternatives, and corresponding infrastructure is developed.” Almost of all the global cities have committed blunders with their transport policies under the influence of car industry, while it is a fine stance for India at the global negotiating table to say that if all other countries own cars, India too has a right aspire for new cars but domestically if the National Action Plan indeed promotes public transportation there is no visible movement in that direction. No one can dispute that it would serve India’s public interest and environment better if it can resist the tremendous influence of the car companies in India.

Thursday, 14 May 2009

Narendra Modi accuses centre of obstructing linking of rivers

The BJP led National Democratic Alliance presented a united face at a ‘Maha Rally’ in Ludhiana on 10 May. The alliance presented as many as eight chief ministers on the same platform and brought leaders of Gorkha Janmukti Morcha from Darjeeling, Telengana Rashtra Samiti (TRS) leader K Chandrashekhar Rao and Assam Gana Parishad (AGP) on the same platform.

The five-hour rally, held in scorching heat, lasted from 11 am to 4 pm and barring the star attraction Narendra Modi, all other leaders sat through the speeches. As many as four chief ministers present at the rally, of Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, were left out in the cold and did not get a chance to address the rally.

Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar said centre had asked Bihar to return the Rs 1000 crore flood relief fund, while Modi accused the centre of obstructing linking of river waters.

Chander Mohan Patowari, chief of Asom Gana Parishad, Narendra Modi and even Advani spoke of linking all national rivers for water sharing and taking national water resource to each farmer of the country. This caused lot of embarrassment to Punjab Chief Minister Prakash Singh Badal, who has declared that Punjab has not a single drop of water to be shared with Haryana or Rajasthan.